Load Forecast Development Process

The processes for development and implementation of the PJM forecasts are maintained in this section along with Manual 19: Load Forecasting and Analysis WEB | PDF. The normalized peak and allocations for the past several planning periods are also maintained here along with the current Load Forecast Report, PJM Entity Forecast and Load Management historical data.

Forecasts & Reports

Date
5 Coincident Peaks & Weather Normalized Zonal Peaks - Summer
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 PDF 
 
Load Forecast
2024: Report PDF | Data XLS
Previous Reports ZIP
 
2.1.2024
12.27.2023
PJM Model Review - Final Report from Itron PDF
12.29.2022
2024 Mid-Year Update - Informational Only XLS
7.25.2024

Supplemental Materials

Date
Weather Normalized Peaks XLS
12.27.2023

2024

 
Load Forecast Supplement PDF 
2.8.2024
Sector Models and End-Use Indices
Residential XLS
Commercial XLS
Industrial XLS
Heat Cool Other XLS
 
1.12.2024
1.12.2024
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
Forecast Assumptions
Economics
Households PDF
Population PDF
Working Age Population PDF
Real Goods Output PDF
Real Services Output PDF
Real Personal Income PDF
Service Employment PDF


12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
End Use
End Use Variables PDF

12.27.2023
Electric Vehicles
Electric Vehicle Totals XLS

2.1.2024
Calendar
Calendar Variables XLS

12.27.2023
Behind the Meter
2024 Solar Forecast Data XLS
Distributed Solar Annual Energy XLS
Distributed Solar and Battery Nameplate XLS

12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
Final Model
Coefficients XLS
Model Residuals PDF
Seasonal Plots: Daily Peak and Weather PDF
Seasonal Plots: Hourly Peak and Weather PDF
Waterfalls PDF
RTO Hourly Shape ZIP

12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
2.8.2024
2.1.2024
Hourly Forecast
AE | AEP | APS | ATSI | BGE | COMED | Dayton | DPL | DQE | Duke | EKPC | JCPL | MetEd | PECO | Penelec | PEPCO | PL | PS | RECO | UGI | VEPCO ZIP
2.7.2024
Forecast Adjustment Documentation
AEP PDF
APS PDF
Dominion PDF
NOVEC PDF
PSEG PDF

12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023
12.27.2023

Interruptible Load Resources

Date
Weather Standards for Demand Response Certification PDF
2.21.2024
Historical Load Management Events XLS
6.8.2023
Peak Shaving Adjustment Plan Template XLS 8.25.2021